Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.25
+29% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
12.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
07.09.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.04.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.09.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
08.04.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg got the better of Cancun FC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.00 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 45%, draw 26%, Cancun FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ BTTS No
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