Guadalajara U23 1-2 Juarez U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
77%
-18.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara U23 EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Juarez U23 EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +80%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guadalajara U23 vs Juarez U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juarez U23 squeezed past Guadalajara U23 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guadalajara U23 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guadalajara U23 vs Juarez U23?

Guadalajara U23 1-2 Juarez U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara U23 vs Juarez U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara U23 59%, draw 19%, Juarez U23 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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