10/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Club Leon U23 vs America U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
22%
Draw
28%
31%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club Leon U23 v America U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Club Leon U23
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
America U23
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
5
200 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
470 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Club Leon U23 vs America U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Club Leon U23 squeezed past America U23 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club Leon U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Club Leon U23 vs America U23?
Club Leon U23 1-0 America U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club Leon U23 vs America U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club Leon U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Club Leon U23 47%, draw 22%, America U23 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Leon U23) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Club Leon U23)
✗ Over 2.5
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
10 Feb 2024