08/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Beltinci vs NS Drava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
22%
Draw
20%
25%
Away Win
16%
43%
Under 2.5
41%
57%
Over 2.5
59%
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
47%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Beltinci v NS Drava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Beltinci
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
NS Drava
EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
1.79/1.22
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/1.31
+4%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-5%
/
+28%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
417 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
315 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
3.7
Beltinci vs NS Drava Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Beltinci
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
NS Drava
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
67%
Ball Possession
33%
25
Total Shots
5
10
Shots on Target
3
11
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
13.11.2021
Beltinci
3-1
HT 2-1
NS Drava
SLVN2
3-1
HT 2-1
NS Drava
SLVN2
Beltinci 3-0 NS Drava — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Beltinci
3-0
AWAY
NS Drava
64%
Ball Possession
36%
19
Total Shots
5
11
Shots on Target
3
11
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Beltinci vs NS Drava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Beltinci swept aside NS Drava 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Beltinci as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Beltinci had 64% of the ball to NS Drava's 36%, shots finished 19-5.
What was the final score of Beltinci vs NS Drava?
Beltinci 3-0 NS Drava in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Beltinci vs NS Drava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 53%, draw 22%, NS Drava 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beltinci), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Beltinci)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SLVN2
More Slovenia - 2.SNL
8 Sep 2024