Ilirija 2-0 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.44/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Bilje
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.11.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-3 HT 0-3 Bilje SLVN2
29.07.2023 Bilje 3-2 HT 3-2 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
22.04.2023 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
08.10.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-1 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
13.11.2021 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
2-0
AWAY Bilje
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija got the better of Bilje 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Ilirija made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ilirija had 49% of the ball to Bilje's 51%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ilirija and 1.40 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Bilje?

Ilirija 2-0 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bilje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 35%, draw 27%, Bilje 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bilje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bilje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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