Nazilli Belediyespor 0-3 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Van Spor FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.11.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-2 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
0-3
AWAY Van Spor FK
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK ran out comfortable winners over Nazilli Belediyespor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Nazilli Belediyespor had 29% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 71%, shots finished 7-25.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Nazilli Belediyespor 0-3 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 23%, draw 26%, Van Spor FK 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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