Bucaspor 1928 1-1 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.39/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 1-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
14.10.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
04.02.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
14.09.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
19.02.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
10.10.2021 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-1 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1-1
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 and Ankara Demirspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bucaspor 1928 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 52% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 48%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 0.67 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor?

Bucaspor 1928 1-1 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 49%, draw 27%, Ankara Demirspor 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bucaspor 1928), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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