Charleston Battery 2-1 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
2.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+46% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.7 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.66 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 0-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
31.07.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-4 HT 2-3 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-1
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.32 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
500 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery squeezed past Sacramento Republic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 62% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 38%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.32 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charleston Battery and 2.50 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic?

Charleston Battery 2-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 50%, draw 24%, Sacramento Republic 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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