Monterey Bay 0-1 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 36% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
-27% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.5 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
0W-1D-4L
AWAY San Antonio
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.03 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
250 Passes 221
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
20.08.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
02.04.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
12.06.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-3 HT 1-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
01.05.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 6-0 HT 3-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
0-1
AWAY San Antonio
0.94 xG 0.90
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
457 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 64% of the ball to San Antonio's 36%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.94 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Monterey Bay and 2.60 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?

Monterey Bay 0-1 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 44%, draw 28%, San Antonio 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
8 Sep 2024
02:00 Hartford Athletic vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island Analysis →
02:30 Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →
02:30 North Carolina vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
04:00 Colorado Springs vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
04:00 El Paso Locomotive vs Detroit City Analysis →