08/09/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Uganda vs Somali Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
82%
14%
Draw
12%
8%
Away Win
6%
42%
Under 2.5
38%
58%
Over 2.5
62%
51%
BTTS Yes
27%
49%
BTTS No
73%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda v Somali — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Uganda
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Somali
EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-11%
/
+47%
65%
Ball Possession
35%
20
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
3
479 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
192 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
Uganda vs Somali Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Uganda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Somali
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
9
Total Shots
3
1
Shots on Target
1
2
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
21.11.2023
Somali
0-1
HT 0-1
Uganda
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Uganda
DKE
Uganda 2-0 Somali — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Uganda
2-0
AWAY
Somali
64%
Ball Possession
36%
13
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
1
5
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Uganda vs Somali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Uganda got the better of Somali 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Uganda as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uganda had 64% of the ball to Somali's 36%, shots finished 13-7.
What was the final score of Uganda vs Somali?
Uganda 2-0 Somali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda vs Somali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Uganda 78%, draw 14%, Somali 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Uganda)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
8 Sep 2025