Ekvator Ginesi 0-1 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.36
Over 2.5
45%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.79
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
70%
-14.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
30%
+14.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 45%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.31
+34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tunus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
173 Passes 321
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.06.2024 Tunus Tunus 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi DKE
17.06.2023 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK
02.06.2022 Tunus Tunus 4-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
13.11.2021 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus DKE
03.09.2021 Tunus Tunus 3-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi DKE
28.03.2021 Tunus Tunus 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
0-1
AWAY Tunus
0.50 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
337 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ekvator Ginesi vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus squeezed past Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ekvator Ginesi had 49% of the ball to Tunus's 51%, shots finished 9-2, expected goals 0.50 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tunus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ekvator Ginesi and 1.67 for Tunus.

What was the final score of Ekvator Ginesi vs Tunus?

Ekvator Ginesi 0-1 Tunus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvator Ginesi vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 25%, draw 30%, Tunus 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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