Tunus 1-0 Ekvator Ginesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2024

Tunus
1-0 HT 0-0
Ekvator Ginesi
📅05/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Tunus vs Ekvator Ginesi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tunus v Ekvator Ginesi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.64/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.06
+45% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tunus vs Ekvator Ginesi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tunus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
321 Passes 173
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2023 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK
02.06.2022 Tunus Tunus 4-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
13.11.2021 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus DKE
03.09.2021 Tunus Tunus 3-0 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi DKE
28.03.2021 Tunus Tunus 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
19.11.2019 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 0-1 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK

Tunus 1-0 Ekvator Ginesi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus
1-0
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tunus vs Ekvator Ginesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus nicked a narrow win over Ekvator Ginesi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tunus had 50% of the ball to Ekvator Ginesi's 50%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tunus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tunus and 0.50 for Ekvator Ginesi.

What was the final score of Tunus vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Tunus 1-0 Ekvator Ginesi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tunus 59%, draw 24%, Ekvator Ginesi 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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