Togo 1-1 Güney Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
6%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 38% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.0pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Sudan EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.03/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.43
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Togo
1-1
AWAY Güney Sudan
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Togo vs Güney Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Togo and Güney Sudan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Togo carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Togo had 63% of the ball to Güney Sudan's 37%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of Togo vs Güney Sudan?

Togo 1-1 Güney Sudan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs Güney Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Togo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Togo 60%, draw 23%, Güney Sudan 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Togo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Togo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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