Sierra Leone 2-1 Cibuti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.6pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cibuti EU Bookmakers 11%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/5.29
+14% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -54%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sierra Leone
2-1
AWAY Cibuti
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Sierra Leone vs Cibuti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sierra Leone edged past Cibuti 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sierra Leone as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sierra Leone had 58% of the ball to Cibuti's 42%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Sierra Leone vs Cibuti?

Sierra Leone 2-1 Cibuti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sierra Leone vs Cibuti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sierra Leone win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 65%, draw 24%, Cibuti 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sierra Leone), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sierra Leone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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