Antigua Ve Barbuda 1-1 Bermuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.39
2-3 Goals
44%
2.23
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
9%
4.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bermuda EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda
1-1
AWAY Bermuda
0.49 xG 2.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
201 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua Ve Barbuda and Bermuda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Antigua Ve Barbuda had 36% of the ball to Bermuda's 64%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.49 to 2.65.

What was the final score of Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda?

Antigua Ve Barbuda 1-1 Bermuda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua Ve Barbuda win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Antigua Ve Barbuda 36%, draw 32%, Bermuda 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antigua Ve Barbuda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antigua Ve Barbuda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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