Namibya 1-1 Liberya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
24%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.3pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Namibya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Liberya EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.43/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-67% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Namibya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Liberya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.06.2012 Namibya Namibya 0-0 HT 0-0 Liberya Liberya AFUK
29.02.2012 Liberya Liberya 1-0 HT 0-0 Namibya Namibya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Namibya
1-1
AWAY Liberya
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Namibya vs Liberya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Namibya and Liberya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Namibya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Namibya had 57% of the ball to Liberya's 43%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liberya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Namibya and 0.50 for Liberya.

What was the final score of Namibya vs Liberya?

Namibya 1-1 Liberya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Namibya vs Liberya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Namibya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Namibya 42%, draw 35%, Liberya 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Namibya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Namibya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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