Worthing 1-0 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.24/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
+22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Welling United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Welling United Welling United 4-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
05.09.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
07.01.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-2 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
13.08.2022 Welling United Welling United 2-4 HT 2-3 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-0
AWAY Welling United
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Welling United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Welling United's 41%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Worthing and 2.00 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Welling United?

Worthing 1-0 Welling United in the England - Conference on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Worthing 51%, draw 25%, Welling United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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