Morpeth Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.62/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.59
+8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.11.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
1-2
AWAY Ilkeston Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town squeezed past Morpeth Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 50% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 50%.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Morpeth Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 35%, draw 22%, Ilkeston Town 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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