Winchester City 1-1 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.38/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.01
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Poole Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.04.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 4-0 HT 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
06.08.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 0-3 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winchester City
1-1
AWAY Poole Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
26 Total Shots 15
15 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City and Poole Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Winchester City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Winchester City had 52% of the ball to Poole Town's 48%, shots finished 26-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Winchester City and 1.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Poole Town?

Winchester City 1-1 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 45%, draw 22%, Poole Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Winchester City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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