Poole Town 2-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.11/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/3.54
+41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
16.03.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 4-0 HT 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
06.08.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 0-3 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town edged past Winchester City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Poole Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Poole Town and 1.20 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Winchester City?

Poole Town 2-1 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 39%, draw 22%, Winchester City 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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