Stourbridge 1-1 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.41
-20% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leamington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 1-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stourbridge
1-1
AWAY Leamington
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge and Leamington couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stourbridge had 61% of the ball to Leamington's 39%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Leamington?

Stourbridge 1-1 Leamington in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 37%, draw 24%, Leamington 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leamington), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leamington) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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