Plymouth Parkway 1-3 Harrow Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrow Borough EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.39/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.92
-27% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Harrow Borough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough 2-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 HT 1-0 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Harrow Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrow Borough beat Plymouth Parkway 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 0.67 for Harrow Borough.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Harrow Borough?

Plymouth Parkway 1-3 Harrow Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Harrow Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 51%, draw 29%, Harrow Borough 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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