Kettering Town 2-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.53
No
56%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.8pp
56%
BTTS No
39%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.30/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.72
-18% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leiston
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.10.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-2 HT 0-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
2-2
AWAY Leiston
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town and Leiston couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kettering Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kettering Town had 46% of the ball to Leiston's 54%, shots finished 15-19.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Leiston?

Kettering Town 2-2 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 43%, draw 21%, Leiston 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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