Tiverton Town 1-2 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

Tiverton Town
1-2
Gosport Borough
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
15%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tiverton Town v Gosport Borough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.46/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.25
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
08.04.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
03.12.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-1 HT 2-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
04.12.2021 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
25.09.2021 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 3-2 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP

Tiverton Town 1-2 Gosport Borough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiverton Town
1-2
AWAY Gosport Borough
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough edged past Tiverton Town 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gosport Borough found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tiverton Town had 62% of the ball to Gosport Borough's 38%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tiverton Town and 1.80 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough?

Tiverton Town 1-2 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiverton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 41%, draw 22%, Gosport Borough 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiverton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiverton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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