Winchester City 4-0 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.24/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.54
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Poole Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.12.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
06.08.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 0-3 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City ran out comfortable winners over Poole Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Winchester City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Winchester City and 1.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Poole Town?

Winchester City 4-0 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 42%, draw 23%, Poole Town 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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