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Roma (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals
Roma (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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4-2
HT 2-1
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Roma (K)
ŞMP-K
1-1
HT 1-1
Wolfsburg (K)
ŞMP-K
Roma (K) 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Roma (K) edged past Wolfsburg (K) 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roma (K) had 42% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 58%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.29 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roma (K) and 2.50 for Wolfsburg (K).
What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?
Roma (K) 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 31%, draw 22%, Wolfsburg (K) 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.