Sierra Leone 0-1 Burkina Faso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Oct 2025

Sierra Leone
0-1 HT 0-1
Burkina Faso
📅08/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-4.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sierra Leone v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Burkina Faso EU Bookmakers 54%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sierra Leone
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Burkina Faso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
The Meetings
10.06.2024 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 2-2 HT 2-0 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone DKE
POST-MATCH Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burkina Faso squeezed past Sierra Leone 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso?

Sierra Leone 0-1 Burkina Faso in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 18%, draw 34%, Burkina Faso 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burkina Faso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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