Etiyopya 1-0 Gine Bissau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Oct 2025

📅08/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.69
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
33%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.5pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 58%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.05/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-92% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etiyopya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gine Bissau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.06.2024 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau 0-0 HT 0-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etiyopya
1-0
AWAY Gine Bissau
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs Gine Bissau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etiyopya nicked a narrow win over Gine Bissau 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gine Bissau at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Etiyopya had 44% of the ball to Gine Bissau's 56%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs Gine Bissau?

Etiyopya 1-0 Gine Bissau in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs Gine Bissau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gine Bissau win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 24%, draw 22%, Gine Bissau 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gine Bissau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gine Bissau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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