Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derby County U21 v Chelsea U21 — Team-Based Signals
Derby County U21 4-3 Chelsea U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County U21 nicked a narrow win over Chelsea U21 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea U21 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Derby County U21 had 34% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 66%, shots finished 13-19.
What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21?
Derby County U21 4-3 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 20%, draw 22%, Chelsea U21 58%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.