08/11/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Reading U21 vs Burnley U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
34%
Draw
23%
32%
Away Win
45%
51%
Under 2.5
33%
49%
Over 2.5
67%
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
43%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Reading U21 v Burnley U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Reading U21
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Burnley U21
EU Bookmakers 49%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+97%
/
-51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
309 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Reading U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Burnley U21 saw off Reading U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Burnley U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Burnley U21?
Reading U21 1-3 Burnley U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Burnley U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 34%, draw 34%, Burnley U21 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNPLK
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8 Nov 2024