Trento AC 3-2 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 38% vs market 36.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
1.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.72
+2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.03.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
27.11.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
27.02.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
20.10.2021 Trento AC Trento AC 1-2 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
3-2
AWAY FeralpiSalo
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC edged past FeralpiSalo 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Trento AC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 47% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 53%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Trento AC and 1.00 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs FeralpiSalo?

Trento AC 3-2 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 30%, draw 30%, FeralpiSalo 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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