Triestina 0-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.42/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.07
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-2D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
14.04.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
09.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.04.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.12.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Triestina vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio squeezed past Triestina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Triestina had 43% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 57%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Triestina and 0.80 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Triestina vs GIANA Erminio?

Triestina 0-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Triestina 43%, draw 25%, GIANA Erminio 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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