Braunschweig 3-1 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.1
Over
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.1
2-3
38%
1.85
4-5
26%
3.06
6+
13%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.72
1/2
11%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
7%
7.07
X/2
16%
4.89
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
13%
2.81
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.50
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.9 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hamburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.26 xG 2.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
253 Passes 471
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
24.11.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
29.01.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 4-2 HT 2-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
17.07.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
08.08.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
23.05.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
3-1
AWAY Hamburg
2.42 xG 2.61
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
163 Passes 422
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig saw off Hamburg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Braunschweig made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Braunschweig had 33% of the ball to Hamburg's 67%, shots finished 17-24, expected goals 2.42 to 2.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Braunschweig and 3.00 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Hamburg?

Braunschweig 3-1 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 32%, draw 28%, Hamburg 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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