Braunschweig 0-4 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

Braunschweig
0-4 HT 0-2
Hamburg
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Braunschweig vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.15
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.68
X/2
15%
5.24
X/X
15%
5.49
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
2.96
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.43/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.55
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
20.2 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Braunschweig vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hamburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.45 xG 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
239 Passes 460
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
29.01.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 4-2 HT 2-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
17.07.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
08.08.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
23.05.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
23.01.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-4 HT 2-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Braunschweig 0-4 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
0-4
AWAY Hamburg
0.40 xG 3.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
266 Passes 457
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg cruised past Braunschweig 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hamburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 40% of the ball to Hamburg's 60%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.40 to 3.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Braunschweig and 3.00 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Hamburg?

Braunschweig 0-4 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 35%, draw 25%, Hamburg 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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