Schalke 04 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

Schalke 04
1-1 HT 0-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 25% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.78
1/2
14%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
11%
6.17
X/2
8%
5.58
X/X
10%
5.25
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.29
2/X
11%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.78/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.15
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
24.9 Crosses 20.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.29 xG 2.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-3 HT 3-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
13.02.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
28.08.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
27.05.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
09.11.2019 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-3 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
02.03.2019 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-4 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1

Schalke 04 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.74 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 and Fortuna Düsseldorf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 46% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 54%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Schalke 04 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 33%, draw 28%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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