Bayreuth 1-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +23%
1.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.76
-15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 10.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nürnberg II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-3 HT 1-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
17.10.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-2 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 5-2 HT 2-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
03.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
16.05.2015 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth and Nürnberg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bayreuth and 1.00 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Nürnberg II?

Bayreuth 1-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 51%, draw 21%, Nürnberg II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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