Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 8 Nov 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
4-1 HT 2-0
Newcastle Jets
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.67
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
11%
4.88
X/2
12%
7.37
X/X
11%
5.57
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
12%
4.72
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.91/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.00
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.4 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
05.11.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.01.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
20.04.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
23.02.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
4-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.83 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
375 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers cruised past Newcastle Jets 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 47%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.83 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.50 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?

Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 43%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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