Arabi 1-0 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.34/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.86
-33% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Arabi 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
23.12.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
12.03.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
30.10.2022 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
23.01.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 HT 0-0 Arabi BAE2
08.10.2021 Arabi 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi nicked a narrow win over Al Thaid 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arabi and 0.67 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Thaid?

Arabi 1-0 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arabi 53%, draw 23%, Al Thaid 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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