Arda Kardzhali 2-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.62/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.59
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
10.03.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-2 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
30.06.2018 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali saw off Botev Vratsa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 47% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 53%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

Arda Kardzhali 2-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 49%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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