Botev Vratsa 1-2 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 50%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.71
+91% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
30.06.2018 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-2
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over Botev Vratsa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 48% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 52%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?

Botev Vratsa 1-2 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 33%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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