Botev Plovdiv 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 60%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.52/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.93
-45% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
07.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad got the better of Botev Plovdiv 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 57% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 43%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Botev Plovdiv 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 26%, draw 30%, Ludogorets Razgrad 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
10 Mar 2024
13:45 Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali Analysis →
16:15 Levski Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad Analysis →