Vejle 1-1 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 26% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.21
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
5.09
X/2
17%
5.93
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.11/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.35
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.7 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
317 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
06.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAK
11.05.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1
01.04.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
14.11.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1
20.08.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
1-1
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.17 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
302 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vejle vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and SonderjyskE shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vejle had 50% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 50%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.17 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vejle and 1.00 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Vejle vs SonderjyskE?

Vejle 1-1 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vejle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vejle 38%, draw 26%, SonderjyskE 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vejle), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vejle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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