SonderjyskE 2-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
22%
4.54
X/2
10%
7.79
X/X
15%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.43/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.7 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vejle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
304 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAK
11.05.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1
01.04.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
14.11.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1
20.08.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
01.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 0-3 HT 0-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
2-1
AWAY Vejle
1.12 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
368 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE edged past Vejle 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SonderjyskE as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 55% of the ball to Vejle's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.00 for Vejle.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Vejle?

SonderjyskE 2-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 45%, draw 27%, Vejle 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SonderjyskE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
22 Sep 2024
00:00 Randers FC vs Midtjylland Analysis →
17:00 Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus Analysis →
19:00 Silkeborg IF vs Brondby Analysis →