Lyngby 0-0 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.7
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
15.25
X/1
14%
7.2
X/2
18%
4.15
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.68
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.31/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.13
+26% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.3 Crosses 24.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 0-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
27.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
30.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
15.08.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
07.02.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
08.11.2020 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
0-0
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.13 xG 1.60
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
133 Passes 506
62% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 39
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby and AGF Aarhus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lyngby had 26% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 74%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.13 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lyngby and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?

Lyngby 0-0 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 34%, draw 28%, AGF Aarhus 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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