Sibenik 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.11
-24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.0 Crosses 24.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.60 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
21.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
12.02.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
29.07.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
20.05.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 2-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-3
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.60 xG 1.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
225 Passes 319
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb ran out comfortable winners over Sibenik 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sibenik had 44% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 56%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.60 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sibenik and 1.50 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Sibenik 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 28%, draw 28%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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