Deportivo Pasto 3-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
53%
-15.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+13.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -26%
1.18/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.20
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.4 Crosses 13.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.65 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
280 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
31.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-4 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.11.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
14.11.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.10.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3-1
AWAY America de Cali
2.53 xG 0.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 191
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 5
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto got the better of America de Cali 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 55% of the ball to America de Cali's 45%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.83 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?

Deportivo Pasto 3-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 38%, draw 30%, America de Cali 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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