Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Nov 2024

Deportivo Pereira
1-1 HT 1-1
Atletico Nacional
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pereira v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.92/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.07
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
15.8 Crosses 13.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
20.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
04.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
18.03.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
17.02.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLSK

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-1
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.38 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
200 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Atletico Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 42% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 58%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.38 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 38%, draw 32%, Atletico Nacional 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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