Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.98/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.23
-26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
01.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.03.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-4 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
25.09.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.09.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and CD Tapatio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.67 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 34%, draw 29%, CD Tapatio 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Tapatio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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