Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-4 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.00
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
25.09.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.09.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.09.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
11.02.2021 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio ran out comfortable winners over Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.83 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-4 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 26%, draw 29%, CD Tapatio 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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