Irapuato 2-2 Aguacateros de Periban — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguacateros de Periban EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.04/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-97% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Aguacateros de Periban
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato and Aguacateros de Periban couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Irapuato at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Aguacateros de Periban?

Irapuato 2-2 Aguacateros de Periban in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Aguacateros de Periban?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 47%, draw 28%, Aguacateros de Periban 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irapuato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
24 Mar 2024
00:00 Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CD Tapatio Analysis →
02:00 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →
04:05 Correcaminos UAT vs Venados Analysis →
06:05 Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg Analysis →
21:00 Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →